The effects of climate change on outdoor recreation participation: National projections for the 21st century
Citation:
The effects of climate change on outdoor recreation participation: National projections for the 21st century .
Impact/Purpose:
Examine how climate change will impact outdoor recreation in the continental United States.
Description:
In this paper, we examine how climate change will impact outdoor recreation in the continental United States using data on time allocation from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS). We apply a partially non-parametric regression approach to document how weather historically affects participation in outdoor recreation activities for a baseline including the present and recent past. We then overlay these estimates on leading climate models to characterize potential consequences changes to outdoor recreation activities from changing climate. We further analyze how these projections for outdoor recreation might change under different scenarios for adaptation and acclimatization.